Kose vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
81.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
KOS
3 - 4
LAH
8%
12%
80%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
KOS
0 - 4
VJK
21%
19%
60%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
LAH
7 - 1
KOS
91%
6%
3%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
KOS
0 - 1
JKP
19%
18%
63%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
TUL
2 - 0
KOS
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
FLO
2 - 5
PAI
9%
16%
74%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LAH
3 - 2
PAI
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAI
10%
17%
73%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PAI
6 - 1
POS
92%
6%
2%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
PAI
13 - 2
MAS
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |