Kose vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
81.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
KOS
1 - 4
RAP
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
KOS
2 - 5
RUD
53%
19%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
KOS
2 - 6
HII
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
KOS
0 - 5
VJK
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 1
KOS
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
JOK
4 - 2
HII
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
JOK
2 - 1
VJK
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
JOK
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
JOK
4 - 3
PAI
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
KEI
1 - 3
JOK
76%
13%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |