Korsnäs vs FC Järfälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
11º
13º
12º
30
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 49 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 40 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 29 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 12 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
28% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korsnäs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IFF
2 - 4
GUT
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
VIK
1 - 0
IFF
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
AIF
2 - 1
IFF
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
IFF
0 - 6
SAN
5%
10%
85%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SKI
4 - 0
IFF
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FCJ
3 - 1
SKI
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
GUT
1 - 1
FCJ
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 0
FCJ
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FCJ
4 - 2
SKI
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
FCJ
1 - 6
DJU
8%
17%
75%
|
43 | 82 | 39 | 0 |