Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
18º
14º
50
5º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korona Kielce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 0
KOR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 0
KOR
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
KOR
0 - 2
STA
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KOR
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
4 - 1
KOR
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
PGL
1 - 2
RAD
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
PGL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POG
1 - 1
PGL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
PGL
1 - 2
WLO
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PGL
0 - 1
RAK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |