FC KTP vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
8º
12º
12º
12
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 40 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FFJ
2 - 3
KOO
32%
24%
45%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 5
ILV
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 5
KOO
4%
9%
87%
|
65 | 21 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
KOO
2 - 2
VAA
24%
24%
53%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 1
SEI
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUL
1 - 4
INT
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SEI
3 - 1
OUL
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
HAK
2 - 1
OUL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 3
OUL
6%
11%
82%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
KUO
1 - 0
OUL
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |