FC KTP vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
12º
11º
35
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 1
KOO
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
HAK
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 3
KOO
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 4
INT
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 0
KOO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
ILV
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
IFK
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 1
HON
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
INT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
HON
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |