Koninklijke HFC vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koninklijke HFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
KON
1 - 0
LIE
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
DET
0 - 0
KON
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
KON
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
KON
1 - 2
IJS
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TIE
4 - 1
KON
25%
25%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
LIS
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
KOZ
1 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 2
BAR
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
ACH
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
TIE
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |