Koninklijke HFC vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koninklijke HFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HHC
1 - 1
KON
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
KON
4 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 2
KON
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
KON
1 - 1
SPA
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KAT
1 - 0
KON
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DET
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 2
LIE
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 4
TIE
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |