Excelsior Zedelgem vs Sparta Heestert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
16º
13º
33
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Zedelgem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 1
KEZ
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KEZ
2 - 4
BLA
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KWL
5 - 3
KEZ
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OOS
2 - 3
KEZ
40%
24%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KEZ
1 - 1
DIK
36%
21%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Heestert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SHE
4 - 3
KSV
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 3
KWL
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KSV
2 - 2
SHE
43%
22%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 0
DIK
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 1
RCL
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |