Kongsvinger vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
9º
2º
17
1º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 66 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 50 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 46 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 44 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 42 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 65% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kongsvinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
RBK
23%
22%
55%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
LSK
2 - 0
KON
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
KON
1 - 3
ODD
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
SOG
3 - 3
KON
28%
22%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RAN
2 - 1
KON
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
LYN
1 - 1
SKE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 0
LYN
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
LYN
0 - 2
HAM
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LYN
0 - 1
HOD
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LYN
0 - 1
LSK
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |