Kongahälla vs Kumla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
3º
2º
17
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kongahälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 2
KON
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KON
4 - 1
SFC
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
FBK
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TFC
0 - 1
KON
8%
12%
80%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KON
1 - 3
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
VFK
2 - 1
KUM
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
KUM
3 - 1
IKT
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GRE
0 - 2
KUM
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 1
KUM
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
0 - 3
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |