Kom Podgorica vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
2º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
73.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kom Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
BOK
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KOM
4 - 3
MLJ
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 2
KOM
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
GRB
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 3
KOM
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
MLJ
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
2 - 1
ZET
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
OUL
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 2
OFK
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |