Kolstad vs Verdal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
51.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
14º
14º
27
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KBK
2 - 1
KOL
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 5
STE
42%
20%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ORK
2 - 1
KOL
71%
15%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 0
FBG
12%
15%
73%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
5 - 0
KOL
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VER
2 - 0
FBG
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TLI
0 - 3
VER
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VER
0 - 2
STR
7%
12%
81%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
VER
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VER
1 - 4
RFK
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |