Kolstad vs Skarp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 2
ALT
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MOI
3 - 0
KOL
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 0
STE
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 3
KOL
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 2
STR
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Skarp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
IFS
4 - 1
BYA
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALT
3 - 1
IFS
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
IFS
5 - 0
ROS
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MOI
1 - 0
IFS
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
IFS
1 - 1
LEV
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |