Köln U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
8º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
KOL
21%
21%
59%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
FOR
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 6
KOL
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
BOC
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 2
VIK
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DUI
1 - 1
BOC
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 2
DUI
38%
23%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DUI
3 - 1
BOR
5%
11%
84%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +6 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 2
DUI
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DUI
1 - 4
MON
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |