Köln U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 1
KOL
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BON
2 - 4
KOL
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
KOL
4 - 2
BOR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
KOL
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KOL
6 - 0
RWO
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DUI
0 - 2
FOR
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
DUI
4 - 1
BOC
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RWA
0 - 8
DUI
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
DUI
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DUI
1 - 1
ALA
41%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |