UEFA Youth League Eliminatorias 1/64
Global 3-7
Köln U19 vs Genk U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
KOL
6 - 1
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 1
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
KOL
5 - 0
LEV
59%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DUI
1 - 3
KOL
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 0
KOL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Genk U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
NAP
0 - 0
GNK
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
GNK
0 - 2
RBS
13%
18%
70%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
LIV
0 - 1
GNK
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
GNK
0 - 2
LIV
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
GNK
3 - 1
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |