Köln U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RWO
2 - 1
KOL
10%
16%
75%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
KOL
0 - 1
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
RWA
1 - 3
KOL
11%
17%
72%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 0
ALA
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
WUP
0 - 4
KOL
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 3
LEV
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BOC
3 - 2
FOR
48%
24%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BON
2 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
4 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |