Köln U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
KOL
4 - 2
SGW
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 1
KOL
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BOC
4 - 0
KOL
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 1
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SES
1 - 3
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
ARM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
BOC
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
BOR
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |