Köln U19 vs B. Dortmund U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
8º
70
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 3
KOL
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
LEV
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
KOL
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ALA
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
KOL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
BOR
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 1
ARM
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
BOR
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 4
BOR
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
7 - 1
WUP
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |