Köln U19 vs VfL Bochum U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+125%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
8º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 2
VIK
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 0
KOL
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 2
ARM
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
KOL
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 3
BOR
10%
15%
75%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 3
BOC
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
4 - 1
WUP
90%
8%
2%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
BOC
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
BOC
7%
15%
78%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |