Köln II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AAA
1 - 0
DIE
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
USO
0 - 3
DIE
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BSC
2 - 0
DIE
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
DIE
2 - 2
DUR
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 0
SPE
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MSV
4 - 1
VFB
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VFB
0 - 1
WUP
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
VFB
1 - 3
ROT
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
VFB
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |