Köln II vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 3
DIE
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
BOR
3 - 1
DIE
31%
25%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DIE
7 - 0
ELV
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
HOM
0 - 0
DIE
14%
21%
66%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
DIE
1 - 0
BAY
59%
23%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VER
1 - 2
BOR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ELV
1 - 2
VER
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VER
0 - 0
HOM
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 3
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VER
3 - 0
WIE
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |