Köln II vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
SAA
1 - 1
DIE
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
DIE
0 - 1
S04
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
KAI
2 - 5
DIE
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
DIE
3 - 1
MAI
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
BOC
1 - 4
DIE
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
VER
4 - 1
BSC
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 4
VER
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAY
0 - 0
VER
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
VER
2 - 3
SAA
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
S04
0 - 0
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |