Köln II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
DIE
3 - 1
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
KLE
0 - 1
DIE
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
DIE
0 - 2
GEW
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DIE
6 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
VFB
1 - 2
DIE
36%
24%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VFB
3 - 3
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 1
DUS
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
BER
1 - 1
VEL
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
AAA
4 - 0
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VEL
4 - 1
WUP
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |