Köln II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
VFB
3 - 1
DIE
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 3
AAA
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BER
1 - 1
DIE
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 3
USO
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 2
DIE
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 3
UNT
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MSV
0 - 3
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 1
WUP
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPE
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
KLE
1 - 2
VEL
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |