Köln II vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
HAM
2 - 0
DIE
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
DIE
1 - 1
OSN
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
DIE
1 - 1
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
HAM
2 - 0
DIE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
DIE
4 - 0
WUP
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WUP
0 - 1
STP
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
EBT
3 - 2
STP
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
STP
1 - 1
KFC
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
VFR
0 - 1
STP
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |