Köln II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1994 |
DIE
1 - 1
FBH
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1994 |
RHE
3 - 2
DIE
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
DIE
2 - 1
USO
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
FCV
0 - 1
DIE
15%
25%
60%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
DIE
4 - 0
DJK
86%
10%
3%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1994 |
GET
1 - 0
SWE
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
SWE
0 - 5
ROT
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
FCR
1 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
SWE
2 - 2
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
TUS
4 - 4
SWE
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |