Köln II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WIE
2 - 1
DIE
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AAA
2 - 0
DIE
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DIE
1 - 0
KFC
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DIE
3 - 1
FOR
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
DIE
6 - 3
WUP
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ROT
0 - 1
BOR
37%
26%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ROT
2 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ERN
0 - 2
ROT
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 1
ROT
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AAA
1 - 2
ROT
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |