Köln II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KÖL
2 - 2
DIE
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
DIE
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 3
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
WUP
1 - 1
DIE
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 0
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 1
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 1
VER
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 4
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |