Köln II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
WWO
1 - 1
DIE
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
DIE
0 - 0
BAY
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DIE
4 - 3
ELV
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 0
BSC
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
DIE
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 1
BSC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
ROT
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ROT
2 - 0
VER
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
KAI
1 - 0
ROT
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |