Köln II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 1
DIE
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
2 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 2
DIE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
4 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 2
DIE
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 3
BOR
17%
21%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
KAI
2 - 0
MAI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
S04
1 - 1
MAI
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |