Köln II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
BOC
1 - 4
DIE
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DIE
1 - 1
WAL
50%
27%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 4
DIE
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
DIE
1 - 1
SPO
37%
27%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
PRE
1 - 2
DIE
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 1
BSC
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 3
MAI
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 0
VER
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SAA
0 - 0
MAI
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
3 - 1
MAI
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |