Köln II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 0
CLO
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 0
DIE
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
BOC
0 - 1
DIE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
WWO
0 - 0
DIE
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
EIN
1 - 1
DIE
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
KAI
2 - 2
MAI
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MAI
2 - 3
BOC
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAI
2 - 0
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
MAI
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MAI
2 - 0
BOR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |