Köln II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
F95
0 - 2
DIE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
DIE
5 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BIE
4 - 1
DIE
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
DIE
0 - 0
PAD
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
DIE
2 - 0
WOL
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LUB
1 - 0
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 1
LUB
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
KFC
0 - 0
LUB
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LUB
0 - 1
BVB
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |