Köln II vs Kray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 2
DIE
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 0
HUL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
DIE
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
DIE
1 - 3
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DIE
1 - 4
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 5
VER
22%
26%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
KRA
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 0
ROT
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | +3 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 1
MSV
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
6 - 0
KRA
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |