Köln II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
WER
1 - 2
DIE
57%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 0
HAM
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
PAD
4 - 1
DIE
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
DIE
0 - 1
VER
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
KFC
1 - 0
DIE
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 1
HAM
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VER
2 - 4
HOL
45%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 1
ROT
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
WAT
0 - 1
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BAB
1 - 4
HOL
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |