Köln II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 3
DIE
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
DIE
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
DIE
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
DIE
2 - 2
VEL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DIE
0 - 4
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KÖL
0 - 0
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KÖL
4 - 2
MSV
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 2
KÖL
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 1
ROT
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |