Köln II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VIK
2 - 4
DIE
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 1
WUP
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 1
DIE
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BSC
2 - 3
DIE
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 3
WIE
37%
27%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
S04
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 2
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
AAA
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VER
2 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
RWA
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |