Köln II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MSV
0 - 1
DIE
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 1
KLE
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GEW
0 - 1
DIE
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
STR
1 - 2
DIE
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
DIE
1 - 0
VFB
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 0
STR
52%
24%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 3
FOR
61%
20%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FOR
0 - 0
DUS
37%
28%
35%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FOR
2 - 0
WUP
37%
28%
36%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |