Köln II vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
DIE
5 - 0
BAY
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 3
DIE
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DIE
0 - 2
PRE
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 3
LUB
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
WUP
2 - 0
DIE
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
HOL
1 - 2
CZJ
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CZJ
3 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
PRE
0 - 1
CZJ
29%
24%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 3
CZJ
26%
23%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CZJ
3 - 1
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |