Köln II vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
EIN
2 - 2
DIE
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
DIE
0 - 3
PRE
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
WUP
3 - 2
DIE
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DIE
2 - 2
KAI
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
DIE
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 3
BOR
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ELV
0 - 0
ABI
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 3
HOM
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
6 - 2
ABI
52%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 2
WIE
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |