Köln II vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RWA
2 - 3
DIE
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
DIE
2 - 4
SPO
15%
22%
62%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
VIK
4 - 0
DIE
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 0
VER
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
DIE
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
AAA
1 - 2
S04
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
AAA
3 - 0
WIE
75%
16%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 1
AAA
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
AAA
1 - 0
KRA
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 4
AAA
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |