Koerich / Simmern vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.3%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
89.7%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.8%
0-4
11%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0%
-4
15.6%
0-5
7.5%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
10%
0-6
4.2%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.4%
0-7
2.1%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koerich / Simmern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
KSI
2 - 4
ATE
8%
12%
80%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
RBA
0 - 1
KSI
52%
21%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
5 - 1
KSI
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KSI
2 - 7
ATE
6%
12%
82%
|
14 | 53 | 39 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
HOS
2 - 3
KSI
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
5 - 0
MLI
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DCE
1 - 7
LOR
6%
14%
79%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FFN
2 - 3
LOR
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |