Koeppchen vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 0
RSM
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 2
KOE
41%
21%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 3
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 5
KOE
13%
17%
71%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SYR
0 - 1
KOE
38%
21%
42%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 2
USH
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
USH
2 - 3
WIL
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 2
USH
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
USH
0 - 1
KAE
35%
23%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
F91
3 - 1
USH
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |