Koeppchen vs Red Star Merl-Belair analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
7º
2º
35
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 2
KOE
41%
21%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 3
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 5
KOE
13%
17%
71%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SYR
0 - 1
KOE
38%
21%
42%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
KOE
0 - 0
ESC
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
4 - 2
SPO
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
RSM
53%
21%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
6 - 2
TBB
38%
22%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 3
CBG
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UKT
3 - 3
RSM
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |