Koblach vs Lochau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
15º
12º
59
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koblach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
NEN
3 - 5
KBL
85%
9%
5%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KBL
0 - 3
AND
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BIZ
2 - 0
KBL
78%
12%
10%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 5
KBL
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KBL
0 - 1
FCH
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCH
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HIT
0 - 4
LOC
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 0
LOC
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LOC
3 - 0
SCF
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |