Koblach vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
74.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
15º
12º
52
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koblach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 1
KBL
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KBL
1 - 0
SCF
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BEZ
0 - 0
KBL
64%
18%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KBL
2 - 1
AUS
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KBL
3 - 5
LUD
37%
22%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
FCH
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HIT
1 - 3
HAR
8%
14%
78%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
HAR
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 1
FCH
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
SCF
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |