Koblach vs Alberschwende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
15º
12º
66
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koblach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
6 - 1
KBL
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
2 - 2
NEN
7%
12%
81%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AND
3 - 1
KBL
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
0 - 2
BIZ
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
1 - 2
BRE
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alberschwende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 1
FCH
70%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HIT
1 - 4
ALB
6%
12%
83%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
HAR
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
2 - 2
ALB
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
SCF
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |