CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 1-2
KMKM vs Al-Hilal Omdurman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMKM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
KMK
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
KMK
2 - 0
DED
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DED
3 - 0
KMK
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALN
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
OBA
0 - 0
ALH
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
KMK
83%
12%
6%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALH
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
KHA
0 - 0
ALH
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |